Example: I hate cold weather. I am going to Lake Tahoe in December.
Analysis: I believe this is an example of a phony refutation. It is a bad argument because I said that I hate cold weather then went on to say that I am going to a cold place during the winter. Why would I go somewhere where I hate the weather? The argument could be fixed by saying that I have to make the trip for work or a family event. If I add “I have a mandatory company conference in Lake Tahoe at the end of the year” in the middle, it would make sense. Referring to the guide on page 62, the argument has become valid, the premise is plausible to others, and the premise is more plausible than the conclusion. People often do things they do not want to do for work, so it could make it believable.